So what have I learned so far? I’ve learned enough C++ to know that I hate when things become very tedious. That really helped with pushing me towards learning more about Ruby and Ruby on Rails. I was able to use C++ for an actual application though. I wrote a parser to convert an online directory of addresses to a comma delimited file so it could be used to create mailing labels. Pretty exciting stuff isn’t it.

I learned more HTML and CSS. No time wasted there. Besides all the CSS you come across playing around with blogs, you can also use it to help with designs of actual websites. Who knew? Hopefully, my site, ValueRents.com will be online sooner than later. That’s the website I’ve been working on in a round about manner for a couple of years. I dusted the concept off and developed a frontend for the site but still need to plug in some sort of backend. One day ValueRents.com will help landlords find the best properties then manage their rental properties from one location. I apparently have a few more things to figure out before it all comes together. I might make some attempts to redevelop the theme for this site. How hard could it be?

And to wrap it all up, a few classes in database design and SQL. I got to tell you, there’s nothing like bending raw data to your every whim. Hours of fun. I can’t even begin to explain how happy I am to finally stop using Excel to run calculations on the thousands of foreclosure records I have. Mysql and SQL Server are so much more fun. So maybe I can start using Excel for what it was intended–spreadsheets and quick and dirty charts.

So that’s what I’ve been up to while the real estate megalith cracks and crumbles. I’ll have more on that in coming posts. I can’t help but think though, where there are problems, there is an opportunity. I haven’t seen such great deals in Denver real estate since I moved here 8 years ago. Hopefully, the web development education I’m giving myself will help me take advantage of the dozens of opportunities I see every day. Time will tell.

 With the rise in foreclosures and more agents being the first people to enter recently vacant homes after and possibly during a foreclosure, a little education can go along way for your own safety and the safety of your clients.  Going into homes before they’re ‘trashed out’ can mean just about anything these days.

If you know me, you know that this is what I do.  I want to know why and how, so, I did a little checking in the MLS and public records.

  The unit I saw had previously sold for $204k but was now listed at $60,000 in a building that every unit had previously sold for over $150k.  A few even sold for up to $250k.   What makes it suspicious is that there were no real upgrades to justify 204k.  In fact, the value today is probably about $80,000 if it was cleaned out.   No electrical or plumbing upgrades to the building.  Some newer windows and a few new light fixtures in the hallway.  That’s it.    Now it is possible to get $160,000 for this type of unit if it’s done right.

 Some developers who do a killer job on the conversions do make top dollar.  They add roof top decks, change the curb appeal, improve all the common elements and put about $30,000-$60,000 into each unit upgrading the kitchen, bathrooms and finishes.  The units I saw at this place weren’t like that.   For this building though, the appraiser would have to be blind not to notice that the doors were missing handles and nothing that was described in the MLS was actually completed. (business center, fitness room, etc..) 

It’s painful to see because you really don’t get a redo on a condo conversion.  It’s to late.  The building is still a dump.  Can you imagine trying to coordinate an overhaul of the building with 24 different owners.  It’s going to be a blight to the neighborhood for a long time.

They bought the property for $2.9 mill and sold the units for a total of $4.8.   15 days after they closed on the property, they were already selling them.  6 at a time.  Many of the buyers bought multiple units.   They were 80% sold out in 2 months.  In the middle of winter during 2005-2006.  That was not a great time for selling condos,  even nice ones.

It seems like if you wanted to make 1.8 million fast the dirty way, you could get people who were going to file bankruptcy purchase these properties using stated 80/20 loans.  The paper values would support the apparent protection of the 1st lender and the 2nd would be carried back by the seller.  It’s all just funny money right?  Seller kicks back some money to the buyers for the ’service’.  The buyers then try to rent the properties out and never make a payment.  When it all goes south, they just walk and let the properties foreclose.   Now, I’m not saying that is what happened here, but I do think it happens.

I know there are people who believe that the only one they’re hurting when they do this is the lender.  That frustrates me.  It gives the entire industry a bad name.  Especially when a lot of people need to work together to decieve the lender.  It’s no wonder that the agent that listed the property had his license just long enough to do this deal then leave the business by going inactive.  The building had been listed as having an agent owner so he must have been involved.  I wonder what his employing broker was thinking.  Probably wasn’t.  I wonder if the buyers weren’t actually in on it and had their credit ruined by an investor who made a lot of promises he didn’t deliver on.

I’d love to give you the address and name the players…but that seems to get people in trouble.  No, I can’t flat out say that there is some fraud involved but it makes you wonder doesn’t it.

1. Why Johnny Can’t Code and How to Help Him. by Curtis Barron  - What!  I find it hard to believe that my Dad’s post is the most popular post on my blog.  It’s actually kind of painful.  I wonder how much this speaks to the fact that niche expertise is the real strength of a search engine.  Thanks for the contribution Dad.
2. Money Magazine – Buyer’s agents Co-op and how to get a better deal buying or selling a home.  Ah yes, the outcome of my complaint about Money printing misleading  information about the Denver real estate market.
3. Thanks to Blogs. My only guess here is that this is the intersection of people searching my general interest and personal categories.  And of course, this post seems to have a penchant for automated spam.
4. What should be in a Comparative Market Analysis and how long will it be accurate?   This was my take on how to evaluate the value of a property, seems to be popular with investors and appraisers.
5. Apple’s New iphone, up to the hype?  Nothing like mentioning some pop culture to turn up the heat.
6. The Top Ten Most Common Complaints about Homes for Sale – Useful Feedback.  This is my take on the feedback you get, if any when selling a house.
7. Most Brokerage Business models don’t benefit the Agent.  It’s true!
8. Zillow Returns Power to the People with Site updates.  I still love Zillow.  I don’t think they’re going to make any real money for a long time but they’re headed in the right direction.   Oh, and I love the fact that if you mention Zillow in any post, there is a high likelihood that the hard working Drew Meyers will stop by. 
9. Where to spend my marketing budget?  This has become a lot more popular over the last 2 months.  I think agents are rethinking were they’re putting their money.
10. Blizzard of 2006 – Buried in Snow and loving it.  What I love most about Denver is that the sun comes out after it snows.  As long as the suns out, you probably don’t even need a coat.  It’s just when the sun goes down…. Brrrr…

And a few honorable mentions.

• Most Denver homes are overpriced.  I attempted to illustrate the difference between the list price and the sale price and drive home the importance of some due diligence on the part of the buyer. 
• Buying a home? Think before making your first offer. My opinion on what a buyer needs to think about before making an offer on a home.I truly hope people find my writing useful, informative and perhaps even entertaining on some level.   Thanks for reading.

I think the Wall Street adage is, “Bulls make money, Bears make money, Pigs get slaughtered.”

In my opinion there are only three actions a smart trader would take:  

1. Absolutely nothing.  No reason to buy or sell right then.  Plenty of reasons to wait for the volatility to decrease.  Double check your facts and assumptions based off the new information and revisit the stock later.
2. Short term day trade.  Very Very Short term.  A little risky but to some a drastic, yet predictable, price move could mean a pretty penny.  
3. A move to safer ground seeing that the Fed has reaffirmed that yes, things are slightly less rosy than when they made their emergency rate cut.  Thus, when you see your position spike for no good reason, you’d sell and get into something else…or maybe take your position down and wait until tomorrow.

Now, I’m not a economist or even a stock market analyst, so don’t get too worked up if you understand this much better than I do.  I know this is an oversimplification, but my understanding is that rate cuts are applied when the economy is slowing down.  So when the seven economist types that sit on the Federal Reserve Board of Directors get together, and six of them vote to cut rates by a half a point,  my take away on that would be some concern that there could be some problems in the short term with the economy.  Problems with the economy usually doesn’t bode well for most stocks.  At least until the stocks account for the expectations in the stock price.  So when I see a rally like I saw at 2 P.M today, I try to think about what the people were actually thinking.  The truth is, the people that were buying weren’t really thinking. 

Those that were buying, for the most part, were buying based off emotion.  That’s pretty dangerous when you’re making a purchase.  Whether it’s a stock or a new home, it’s a safe bet that you should only make the purchase if you really understand what’s going on.  What is the asset worth?  Do I need to buy it now?  What’s the advantage of buying right now?  If I wait, do I miss an opportunity or will I pick it up next week cheaper?  Do your homework.   For the stocks today, the simple explanation of it is that everyone expected that there was going to be a 50 basis point cut today.  They’ve expected it for weeks.   It’s been so expected that it’s already priced into the stocks.  So when the Dow Jones Industrial average goes up 226 points without any real basis for it, and especially since the underlying factors actually suggest some negativity in the underlying assets, the smart money that already owned the stock would probably sell,  right? 

I’ll admit it. I love to research. I don’t like surprises. I want to know everything I could possibly find out about the agent I’m dealing with and his or her client. How much business do they do? Is the agent busy or just faking it? What’s their style, what’s their office like? Do they need the money? How long have they been in the business? Do they have any listings? What have they sold? What’s their target market, if any? What does the buyer currently own? Are they selling anything? Where does the buyer work?…oh it goes on and on. Anything on Google?

I love to encourage conversation. Even aimless banter. I like the agents to like me and feel comfortable and confident dealing with me. They should; I wouldn’t do anything shady, illegal or even underhanded. But that doesn’t mean I’m not working for my client. If my client wants a certain goal to be achieved, that’s my aim and I work very hard to gain any ground I can.

Everyone gives up little clues about their motivations, but they don’t always know they’re doing it. That’s why I don’t want my sellers having any sort of contact with the other agents or their clients. It’s also why I don’t want my buyers being too interested in the site of the homeowners. Any sort of contact is compromising my power to negotiate. An agent should be insulation from these situations.

I think of real estate business like a high stakes game of poker. I can’t see the cards but I can read the signals. There are sharks out there while others are just minnows. I’m not a shark but I play one on TV. Which one are you?

When I read the Wired article about Joshua Green’s quest for “cognitive improvement”, it really hit home. I just haven’t been feeling like I’ve been operating at my peak lately. My brain just isn’t what it was ten years ago and I’m far too young to be saying that. It made me think that I probably could function at a higher level if I could keep my brain fit. If I trained my mind the same way athletes train their bodies, when I need to make demands of my mind, it would be ready. I’ve been implementing little things into my routine to test my theory.

There has been so much buzz lately about the Rubik’s cube. With the movie “The Pursuit of Happyness” and Will Smith solving the cube on Oprah, it popped into my head. “Oh, I have one of those.” He had Cube experts, so I found experts online. When I solved it for the first time, it took me about two hours. I’m down to about twenty-five minutes now but I don’t think any world champions are getting nervous. For me, it’s about exercising the analytical and spatial parts of my brain that don’t seem to get used as much these days. I expect the improvements will pay dividends in actual dollars one day soon. Looking for solutions? I personally found the Petrus Method to be my favorite but there are many solutions to fit many different ways of thinking.

Technorati Tags: Rubik, Puzzle, Petrus, Wired

I’m not sure how this helps MyHeritage.com get you interested in your family tree. But it’s a great gimmick to get some traffic to your website and put you on the map. A little P.T. Barnum to get the web traffic rolling. I’m still working on how to put some spin on a real estate website to drive a little traffic. Zillow did this pretty well with the introduction of the Zestimate. Exposure is an absolute necessity for success. Often though, even with a great promotion, the exposure won’t translate into dollars. Without it though, you’re destined to fade back into the crowd. Sometimes, when I need an idea to get more business, I think, “What would Phineas do?”

Don’t expect to get great matches on the facial recognition portion of this site right off the bat. You can expect half of them to look like a random drawing. Of course, I did add the Statler pic myself. Thought it would be funny but I find it just reminds me of getting heckled in high school during a school assembly. Something about looking like the guy on the Muppet show. It still hurts.

In case your just hearing about it (doubtful), here’s what its all about. It’s like a soap opera without the bad dialogue.

Check out the rise and fall of iPhone (or whatever they’re going to call it)

The Rise:

• TechCrunch
• BloodhoundBlog
• TimeMagazine on iphone

And Fall of iPhone

• GigaOM – Battle for Iphone – Cisco sues.
• Gizmodo – Cisco sues over trademark violation

Seems somebody forgot to tie up the whole trademark thing. I’m sure Steve thought it was “a go” the day before, but if it’s not in writing, it doesn’t exist. They’ll probably work it out, but I bet Cisco’s negotiating position just got better.

That was fast.

I actually don’t think it’s failed. It seems to be a great design, though I don’t think it’s going to quite live up to all the initial hype. Maybe they should increase the memory to 20 megs, rename it iPod Mobile and call it a day.

Technorati Tags: iphone, mobile, technology,